{"id":30757,"date":"2022-07-15T10:30:39","date_gmt":"2022-07-15T02:30:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/?p=30757"},"modified":"2022-07-15T10:56:32","modified_gmt":"2022-07-15T02:56:32","slug":"failing-to-build-opposition-alliances-in-singapore-1965-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/2022\/07\/15\/failing-to-build-opposition-alliances-in-singapore-1965-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Failing to Build Opposition Alliances in Singapore, 1965\u20132020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30758\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30758\" style=\"width: 960px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-30758 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2022\/07\/51.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"717\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2022\/07\/51.jpg 960w, https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2022\/07\/51-300x224.jpg 300w, https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/15\/2022\/07\/51-768x574.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30758\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\">\u2018A Historical Moment\u2019 by Tan Xuan Ying from SRN\u2019s SG Photobank<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In July 2020, Singaporeans came together to elect their Group Representation Constituency members for the next five years. General Elections 2020 (GE2020) was the first time elections were held during a global pandemic, but one thing remained constant. There were still no sweeping alliances among the opposition parties who contested the dominant incumbent party, the People\u2019s Action Party (PAP).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In \u2018Failing to Build Opposition Alliances in Singapore, 1965\u20132020\u2019 (<em>Opposing Power: Building Opposition Alliances in Electoral Autocracies<\/em> (<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">University of Michigan Press<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, 2022)), Assistant Professor Elvin Ong (NUS Political Science) asserts that Singapore\u2019s opposition parties strategically chose not to build opposition alliances even when they could have done so. He examines these political calculations of opposition parties, through interviews with several prominent opposition leaders.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Opposition parties are often unincentivised to build \u2018fully-fledged pre-electoral alliances\u2019, which would involve the buy-in of all prominent opposition parties and entail the consistent use of a unified coalition campaign. Generally, opposition parties perceive the costs of alliance building to exceed its limited benefits. Early on in Singapore\u2019s post-independent electoral history, opposition parties who had been \u2018cast into the political wilderness\u2019 by the PAP\u2019s dominance were anxious to re-enter the political arena. As such, they entered \u2018three-cornered fights\u2019 without adequate political clout, attaining disastrous electoral results that would continue to influence opposition strategic logic for decades to come. Today, opposition leaders are wary of the personal costs of coalition formation, namely the necessary compromise with other opposition parties to smooth over ideological differences. This would reduce their autonomy to make political decisions, outweighing any minimal electoral gains from a joint campaign.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, opposition parties do cooperate with one another to a certain extent. In the past five decades, they have almost always coordinated by allocating geographically segregated electoral districts to different opposition parties, to avoid competing against each other rather than against the PAP alone. They did so through adopting the informal rule of \u2018first dibs\u2019 on each constituency, and through gauging their relative popularity in each constituency. This strategic allocation is crucial to avoid splitting opposition votes and therefore maximise their individual vote shares and probability of winning against the PAP. Nonetheless, such intra-opposition coordination was sometimes hampered by the incumbent party\u2019s gerrymandering, creating disputes between opposition parties as to which constituencies each of them should contest.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Asst Prof Ong notes that altogether, the prospect of building \u2018fully-fledged pre-electoral opposition alliances\u2019 in Singapore (which some consider to have an autocratic regime) has arguably been limited. As far as the PAP has remained impenetrable, opposition parties have not sought to build a coalition government, but merely resolved to continue strategically allocating electoral districts to different opposition parties. Foregrounding these cost-benefit analyses of opposition parties is integral to deepening our understanding of Singapore\u2019s electoral ecosystem, especially as Singapore transitions to its fourth generation (4G) leadership.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Read the chapter <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fulcrum.org\/concern\/monographs\/41687k778\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Singapore Research Nexus (SRN) at NUS FASS is holding a book launch for <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Opposing Power: Building Opposition Alliances in Electoral Autocracies<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at The Pod, NLB on Sunday, 31 July, at 2pm. Register <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eventbrite.sg\/e\/opposing-power-building-opposition-alliances-in-electoral-autocracies-tickets-355858360937\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; In July 2020, Singaporeans came together to elect their Group Representation Constituency members for the next five years. General Elections 2020 (GE2020) was the first time elections were held during a global pandemic, but one thing remained constant. There were still no sweeping alliances among the opposition parties who contested the dominant incumbent party, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":235,"featured_media":30758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4529,4542,4606,4609,4604],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-political-science","category-research","category-singapore-research-nexus","category-visible"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Failing to Build Opposition Alliances in Singapore, 1965\u20132020 - Singapore Research Nexus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fass.nus.edu.sg\/srn\/2022\/07\/15\/failing-to-build-opposition-alliances-in-singapore-1965-2020\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Failing to Build Opposition Alliances in Singapore, 1965\u20132020 - Singapore Research Nexus\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; In July 2020, Singaporeans came together to elect their Group Representation Constituency members for the next five years. 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