The 2nd International Conference and Training Workshop on Household and Living Arrangement Projections for Informed Decision-Making

Project's Details

Title: Household and Living Arrangement Projections for Informed Decision-Making

Funded by: Ministry of Education (MOE) Academic Research Fund (AcRF) Tier 1

Amount: S$15,000

PI: Associate Professor Feng Qiushi, Department of Sociology, NUS; and Deputy Director of CFPR, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, NUS

Co-PI: Professor Wei-Jun Jean Yeung, Provost's Chair Professor, Department of Sociology; and Founding Director of CFPR, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, NUS; and Asia Research Institute's Research Leader of Changing Family in Asia Cluster, NUS; and Assistant Prof Joelle Fong, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, NUS

Project duration: March 2020 to 1st April 2022

*Conference will be held on 13-14 January 2022

 

Abstract

The 2nd International Conference and Training Workshop on Household and Living Arrangement Projections for Informed Decision-Making is likely to be held in December 2021 and is likely to include 1 day of academic meeting and 1 day of method training.

Household projection is becoming a major research topic with high policy and business relevance. In many countries of our world, population growth is slowed down and become negative soon, while numbers of households are growing rapid with major structural changes. Although household is the basic unit of energy consumption, and determines demands of housing, home-consumer goods, elderly care, many other services, and planning of public facilities, the traditional approach of population projections is still used to forecast home-based energy demands, housing, home-consumer goods, and services, which would mislead policy-makers and market analysts. It has been twenty years since the ProFamy extended cohort-component method (thereafter ProFamy) was first developed as a leading tool in the field of household projections. So far, this method has been applied in multiple countries for various purposes, from understanding future changes of household structure, elderly living arrangements, trends of population aging and human capital, to forecasting consumptions of energy, housing, furniture, automobiles as well as their environmental implications.

To further pursue this line of research, under the agreement and sponsorship of Population Division of the United Nations (UNPD) and China Population and Development Research Centre (CPDRC), CFPR is planning to host the conference on household and living arrangement projection in use of the ProFamy method. The conference has four main purposes:

• To gather major academic experts in this field as well as the chief officials from UNPD to promote the ProFamy methods to be adopted as an international standard of household projections;

• By illustrating the diversified use of ProFamy in the key exemplar countries, aim to create opportunities for further cooperation in application of ProFamy worldwide;

• To facilitate the application of ProFamy in Asia by attracting participants from Southeast and South Asia countries; and strengthening the related scientific group of Asian Population Association;

• The conference will provide a good training chance for Singapore government employees of Singapore to learn about this useful method and thus could help develop the household projections for the Singapore society.