Branch Location Strategies and Financial Service Access in Thai Banking; Marc Rysman (Boston University)

Abstract

The effect of financial crises on bank branch location choices provides an unexplored channel by which crises affect access to credit for long periods of time. We estimate a dynamic structural model of oligopolistic location choice for Thai banks allowing for competitive effects between rival banks. We predict the evolution of branch locations under the counterfactual scenario of no financial crisis in 1997. We find that there would have been 19.4% more branches and 9.2% more markets with at least one branch after ten years in the absence of the crisis. Furthermore, access to loans would have increased by 6.8 percentage points.

Click here to view the paper.